NextGen · Task 7.4 cost-benefit model

KI use-case CBA calculator

Compare the costs and benefits of one KI tool with today's pathway, over a fixed horizon. Choose a use case, then replace the placeholder inputs with sourced figures.

Starting values are illustrative placeholders, not sourced data. Do not use any result until they are replaced.

Net present value

–

PV of benefits

–

PV of costs

–

Benefit-cost ratio

–

Events avoided

–

Hospital days avoided

–

Break-even uptake

–

Year by year

Euro values. Year 0 holds the one-off set-up cost. Discounted at the rate set in Settings.
Year	Discount factor	Events avoided	Benefits	Costs	Net benefit	PV of net

Sensitivity: NPV with each input ±20%

Sorted by swing, the gap between the two NPVs. Larger swings matter most.
Input	Base value	NPV at −20%	NPV at +20%	Swing

Who pays and who gains (Sweden)

Splits the same costs and benefits across the payers in the Swedish system. Shares are placeholders. Each row must add up to 100%.

Present value over the horizon, euro values
Payer	PV of benefits	PV of costs	Net position	Share of direct benefits

Regions (21) run most hospitals and primary care, so they carry most treatment and test costs.
Municipalities fund elderly and home care. Avoided hospital stays can move cost to them rather than remove it.
The state funds the drug subsidy under TLV decisions and pays sickness benefit through Försäkringskassan.
Employers pay sick pay for the early days of an absence. Check the current split.
Private insurance plays a small role in these cost pools and is not modelled as a payer.
Verify every share and the discount rate against current TLV, Socialstyrelsen and regional sources before use.

Assumptions: volumes and unit costs stay constant over the horizon, with no ramp-up. Untested patients get no benefit. Patient wellbeing is not monetised unless the QALY option is on. Perspective: Swedish health system (assumed).